LIVE ENGINE v2.5 28 ASSETS BTC REGIME CASH UTC --:--:--
CRYPTO RISK COCKPIT · FOR RETAIL TRADERS
quant@terminal:~$ check --trade

Stop taking
dumb trades.

The crypto risk cockpit that grades your trade before you take it.

Size, stop, leverage and regime fit — run against 8 hard risk rules. A regime engine honest enough to say "no trade": no hype, no "AI signals," no price predictions. The risk discipline a Bloomberg terminal charges $24k/yr for — without the bill.

▶ Try Trade Check free — no signup, no card
First 100 lock in 40% off for life. No card. No spam · Terms · Privacy
BTC / USD$62,140
24H▲ 1.24%
FEAR & GREED22 · Extreme Fear
composite_signal · BTC LIVE
$ qt signal BTC --fuse // 4 desks → 1 stance
FLAT · CASH trend & flow disagree —
the smartest trade is no trade.
VALUATION ░░░░░░░░ ·
TREND ░░░░░░░░ ·
MICROSTRUCT ░░░░░░░░ ·
SENTIMENT ░░░░░░░░ ·
HARD STOP EXAMPLE$56,800
SIZING¼-Kelly · vol-gated
MAX DD −18% vs −51% HODL backtest ✓ beats buy-&-hold
LIVE DATA FROM  ·  CoinGecko  ·  CoinMetrics  ·  Binance  ·  alternative.me
The engine
Four factor desks. One honest stance.

Most tools show you charts and leave the thinking to you. This one runs the actual quant frameworks and hands you a decision — sized, stop-protected, explainable, and honest enough to sit in cash when there's no edge.

Desk 01 · On-chain & valuation

On-chain & valuation

Is the market statistically cheap or stretched? MVRV-Z, Metcalfe, Mayer Multiple and NVT gate the engine away from shorting fear and chasing froth.

MVRV-ZMetcalfeMayerNVT
Desk 02 · Risk & sizing engine

Risk & sizing engine

The heart of the cockpit. Live CAViaR dynamic-quantile model, CVaR / Expected Shortfall, Quarter-Kelly position sizing and a hard stop on every plan.

CVaRCAViaR¼-KellyHard stops
Desk 03 · Order-flow & squeeze

Order-flow & squeeze

Reads the tape: cumulative volume delta, funding & open-interest squeeze pressure, and order-book depth so you know real slippage before you click.

CVDFunding / OIDepthSlippage
Desk 04 · Sentiment & whale flow

Sentiment & whale flow

Fear & Greed, live news-headline NLP, social momentum and whale-flow tracking — fused so crowd panic and quiet accumulation both register as signal.

Fear & GreedNews NLPSocialWhale flow
Composite signal

Three states. Never a forced bet.

LONG / SHORT / CASH. Only shorts strong, confirmed downtrends — at half size. Won't catch falling knives; won't short statistically cheap, fearful markets. The smartest trade is often no trade.

RegimeHalf-size shortsNo-trade default
Backtest & paper desk

Proven, then watched.

Backtested across 6 coins with real trading costs, an early-vs-late split, and per-regime windows. v2.1 engine: ~+2% return on BTC at −18% drawdown — beating HODL on return at roughly a third of its drawdown. Plus a fully simulated paper desk.

Cost-aware backtestRegime-checkedPaper desk
Flagship · Trade Check

The dumb-trade detector.

Type the trade you're about to take. Eight hard risk rules grade it ✅ disciplined, ⚠️ risky, or 🚫 dumb — before your money is on the line.

  • Kelly sizing — is the position too big for your edge?
  • CVaR stop distance — is your stop inside the noise?
  • Leverage vs tail-days — would a normal bad day wipe you?
  • Squeeze & crowding — are you on the wrong side of a funding squeeze?
  • Live slippage — does the book actually have the depth?
  • Regime fit & valuation veto — does the trade fight the engine's stance?
Run my first Trade Check →
⚠ PULL UP — DUMB TRADE Master caution · 3 hard rules failed
Trade submitted SHORT BTC $25,000 10× leverage no stop
No hard stop setOne wick and the whole position is gone. Fail
10× vs tail-day riskA normal bad day liquidates this. CVaR says no. Fail
Shorting a cheap, fearful marketF&G 22, MVRV cheap — valuation veto. Fail
Liquidity is fineOrder-book depth absorbs the size — slippage OK. Pass
How it works
From noise to a decision in seconds.
1

Pick an asset

BTC, ETH, SOL and more. The terminal pulls live valuation, risk, order-flow and sentiment data instantly.

2

The engine fuses it

Four factor desks blend into one composite stance, with a conviction score and full factor breakdown — no black box.

3

Act with a plan

Get a sized position and a hard invalidation stop the moment the regime flips. You stay in control.

The public record
We log every call. Even the wrong ones.

Every time the engine flips its stance on an asset, the flip is saved here — server-timestamped, append-only, never edited. This pulls live from production. No cherry-picking.

🐢 Careful · long-term graded against Tactical · short-term

Two engines, one honest scoreboard — a careful long-term read and a faster short-term read, scored head-to-head in public. We even log the tactical one while it's still proving itself, before it ever sizes a dollar.

🐻 Receipt: a pre-set 7-day test of 5 short calls closed 5/5 green, +6.27%
Signal flips logged
Assets covered
Recording since
loading live record…
Pricing
Bloomberg-grade, without the $24k bill.

Founding-member pricing for the waitlist. Lock it in before launch.

Free
$0
forever · no card
  • BTC · ETH · SOL
  • Composite signal + "what it's waiting for"
  • Safety outputs free — position size, hard-stop & CVaR
  • Trade Check — 3/day (5 signed in)
  • Flip alerts — BTC · ETH · SOL
  • Full public track record
  • All 28 assets · backtest · unlimited Trade Checks
Start free
Pro
$19/mo
or $152/yr · founding $11.40/mo — 40% off, locked for life
  • All 28 assets — every coin the engine covers
  • Unlimited Trade Check — all 8 rules, every time
  • Full risk engine — CVaR · CAViaR · Kelly
  • Microstructure: CVD · funding · depth
  • Flip alerts on all 28 assets
  • Backtest + split check + paper desk
Get early access
Desk
$49/mo
for quants & builders
  • Everything in Pro
  • API access to the live signal
  • Priority support
  • + Deep on-chain metrics (soon)
Join waitlist
Prices in USD · cancel anytime · we never touch your funds or exchange keys.
FAQ
The honest answers.
Is this financial advice?

No. Quant Terminal is research & analytics software. It surfaces model outputs to inform your decisions — it does not tell you what to buy and it is not a registered adviser. You're always in control.

Does it trade for me or touch my money?

Never. There's no exchange connection and no custody — we can't see or move your funds. Paper trading is fully simulated.

Where does the data come from?

Live, licensed feeds: market data, on-chain metrics, exchange order-flow/derivatives, and a sentiment index — refreshed continuously.

Will this make me money?

We don't promise that — and you should run from anyone who does. Quant Terminal is built for the other half of trading: not blowing up. Position sizing, hard stops, and a regime engine that says "no trade" more often than it says "trade". In backtests its max drawdown was −18% while buy-and-hold took −51% (BTC, ~800 days, engine v2.1). Profit depends on markets — survival is what you can engineer.

Does the engine actually work?

Judge it yourself, two ways. Every backtest includes an early-vs-late split (same fixed rules on both halves — an honest robustness check, though the rules were designed with history visible). And we publish a live, append-only track record of every signal flip — server-timestamped, never edited, including the wrong calls. It's a research tool, not a profit guarantee.

When does it launch, and what's the waitlist for?

It's being built now. Waitlist members get early access and founding-member pricing (40% off for life) before public launch.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes — monthly, cancel in one click, no lock-in.

Early access
Trade with a framework, not a feeling.

Join the waitlist — be first in, and lock in founding pricing for life.

First 100 get 40% off for life · no card · no spam · by joining you agree to the Terms.